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Punxsutawney Phil

YoungAtHeart
Member
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In 2019, Groundhog Day is tomorrow.  Supposed to be cloudy in our parts, so maybe Spring is coming early?! 

How often is Punxsutawney Phil right? Well, he was wrong last year | PennLive.com 

"But the groundhog and his handlers get it right more often than not. In 118 years of available records, our calculations show Phil and his translators have been correct about 64.4 percent of the time.

Unfortunately, there have been years where the president has misinterpreted what Phil said," retired handler Ron Ploucha previously told PennLive. "Because Phil's never wrong. Phil's prediction is 100 percent correct, and we blame the variants on the president's interpretation of Phil's prediction."

Having just two options can make the forecast difficult. Either Phil sees his shadow and winter continues for six more weeks, or he doesn't see it and an early spring arrives. There isn't room for nuance, as would have been needed last year to foretell of an early spring followed by more winter.

This year, it doesn't look like winter will let up anytime soon. Pennsylvania's first major snowstorm this season broke records in Erie with 53 inches of accumulation over two days, and a deep freeze started the new year off with a record low in Harrisburg.

Time will tell if Punxsutawney Phil agrees with other long-range forecasters about the season ahead. The Farmers' Almanac predicted major snowstorms in mid-February and March."

Who's joining me with fingers crossed?

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About the Author
I smoked until a vascular surgeon informed me of the damage I had done to myself by doing so. I quit 11 years ago, and I can swim laps virtually FOREVER now, walk most other days 40 minutes to an hour and a half. What a difference quitting has made in my life! I strive to help others find this wonderful freedom from addiction, too.